The NHL slapshot is dying. Should some one-timers be the next to go?

We have completed it NHLis standalone Slapshot dies. Some one offs should also be life support.

This may come as a surprise to those who consider the one-timer a must-have option in an offensive toolbox. That’s partly true.

Consider the left elbow one-timer power play Alex Ovechkin has become a work of art. According to tracking by Clear Sight analyticsBetween the start of the 2020-21 season and Nov. 18, such five-on-four one-timers, when preceded by a cross-ice pass below the hash marks, go league-wide 35.4 percent of the time.

However, disparate data illustrates how other one-timers are now considered irrelevant.

For example, take the one-timer from above above the no-traffic circles in front of it. Even if it’s a muscular shooter Adam Pelech leaning into such a shot is where the offense can die.

According to Clear Sight Analytics, from the start of the 2020/21 season to November 18, 4,288 unscreened one-timers were shot from above the circles in all situations. Only 30 went in. That equates to a savings percentage of 0.993.

In other words, the high unscreened one-timer has a 0.6 percent chance of scoring. Clear Sight Analytics defines a high percentage scoring opportunity as one that comes in 20 percent or more of the time.

“Do they kick? Yes,” says John Healy, Clear Sight Analytics vice president of data collection. “Do you meet often? Very short answer: no.”

You might think that a fast-moving one-timer that doesn’t go in will generate follow-up action. The data say otherwise.

Only 159 of the 4,288 one-timers (3.7 percent) produced shots from rebounds. These rebounds turned into 40 goals. The high one-timer is just too easy for a goalie to catch or direct into safe ice.

“We’re all impressed with it,” says Healy. “But then you realize those shots just don’t go in in a game. Anything above the top circles, especially if the goalie sees it, he’ll save it.”

The more data you study, the story stays the same. Take the one-timer started from below circle ceilings and outside faceoff spots: 5,609 shots fired, 232 goals scored (4.1 percent). The numbers also remain stable in the majority game: 1,910 individual goals, 81 goals scored (4.2 percent).

“I think that actually makes sense,” says Healy about the low-percentage character of such power play ephemera. “Because this is very easy, predictable reading. Because many teams have been using this Ovechkin-type spot for a number of years. For the goalkeeper, it is prescient reading.”

In some cases, criminal offenses can turn predictability on its head. Penalty kills, for example, know that the brown bears like to set up To David Pastr for power play one timer on left elbow. When Pastrnak starts games with his signature puck hammering, it can open up other options.

Against the canucks On November 13, Pastrnak loaded for a one-timer. goalkeeper Thatcher Demko braced himself for the shot he thought was coming. Instead, Pastrnak smacked the puck shut Patrice Bergeron in the high slot. Bergeron redirected it past Demko.

Against the flyers on November 17 Pastrnak was sighted Jake DeBrusk available from the remote station. As Carter Hart The right wing encountered Pastrnak and smashed a pass to DeBrusk for a backdoor goal.

Either way, it was like a football team running the ball early. It doesn’t matter if such rushes generate minimal yardage when setting up a play-action pass for a touchdown.

“You have to honor the shot for the goalie,” says Bruins coach Jim Montgomery. “Defensive players often try to block that shot too. So when you block a shot, sometimes you open lanes to commit to the shot, fast lanes. Pasta is gifted at knowing if he’s in the firing line or the fast lane.”

So the solution for low-calorie one-timers could be wristshots. Healy sees four benefits:

1. Teammates may be more willing to take on a slower wrister than a growling slapper. Especially on point shots, the front bodies have to make life difficult for goaltenders by either filling their sight lines or tipping pucks. Montgomery, for example, wants two forwards inside the points on point shots.

2. By taking a moment to handle the puck and study the scenery, rather than yanking a head-down one-timer, a shooter on point expands his offensive portfolio. The best, like defenders Kal Makar and Adam Fox, Buy time for yourself to create shooting lanes and for your teammates to occupy them. Using the precision of a wrister, they can maneuver pucks around shot blockers with greater precision.

consider it Alex Killorn distraction from a Mikhail Sergachev Shot. Sergachev could have hit the puck after a one-off pass Blake Coleman. Instead, Sergachev went over the blue line, waited for his teammates to come together at the net, and placed his shot where he wanted.

“Rather than taking the time to roll up, which now gives the shot blocker time to get into the lane when I’m just holding my stick on the puck to shoot, I now have more control over which side of the net is on I want to shoot at it based on where the goaltender’s head is and based on where the players are shielding up front,” Healy says. “It also lets me decide which way I want to shoot around the shot blocker or blocker plural in the lane. All that time it takes to graduate actually gives you less time to make your decision about all those little nuanced details.”

3. A slower wrist swipe can generate more secondary action. If a sizzling one-timer ricochets off a shin pad, he could go into a corner. Worse, it could flip the other way and create a breakaway opportunity.

By comparison, a long-distance muffin may not go in. But if he slams off a net defender’s pants, the rebound would remain in the highly dangerous ice.

“I can bring something in slowly, get a screen, get a distraction,” says Healy. “Even if it gets blocked, it’s more likely to stay there. Even if the goalie makes the save, he might not be able to save it or take it with his blocker and send it into the corner. He fights back. This puck is sitting in a much more dangerous area.”

4. A shooter’s stick is less likely to break on a wrist shot than on a one-timer.

Ice hockey remains an instinct game. However, the availability of up-to-date data should motivate coaches to encourage certain plays and discourage others.

“The message has to be as broad or as concise as it needs to be based on your team and your level of player,” says Healy. “So if you think your guys can handle more variations on a rule, I think you can throw in a few conditions. I think the bottom line is, ‘We don’t take one-timers from above the top circle as a team.'”

It would then be up to the players to listen.

(Top photo from JustinFauk(: Bailey Hillesheim / Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *